It's dangerous to assume the contrapositive of this claim is actually true (war doesn't start if trade doesn't stop). The best example of this is World War 1 Eu

It's dangerous to assume the contrapositive of this claim is actually true (war doesn't start if trade doesn't stop). The best example of this is World War 1 Europe. It was held as common knowledge then that a world war could never possibly break out because of how interdependent the European economies were becoming. Nobody was going to kill the golden goose over some silly land dispute. We all know how that turned out, and it had nothing to do with whether jobs were being created or destroyed. If the contrapositive isn't true, then the original claim may not hold any actual weight. Dan Carlin talks about this in his Hardcore History podcast and does a great job telling the story of WWI, definitely would recommend.