No, the actions of players are not independent. For example, if 3 are in the hand and the 1st to act bets the 2nd is less likely to call because of the risk of

No, the actions of players are not independent. For example, if 3 are in the hand and the 1st to act bets the 2nd is less likely to call because of the risk of the 3rd raising. Or was the 2nd only calling instead of raising because they expected the 3rd to raise based on recent aggression?!