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I guess I have to put too fine a point on it, huh: the bit about the romans was incidental. I was using the character — "Reg" — as a parody of your criticism:
by pohl 16y ago
I guess I have to put too fine a point on it, huh: the bit about the romans was incidental. I was using the character — "Reg" — as a parody of your criticism:
Reg: all right, but apart from originality, innovation, exclusivity, price-point, beauty, the possibility of being influenced by other software tycoons, and minimality of influence by developers, how was Doc Searls at all prescient here?
- mnemonicsloth 16y agoSearls said "Steve Jobs will do things exactly the same way as he has always done things." He did a good job of describing those things. I said as much earlier. But he was being observant, not prescient. Here's prescient: "Steve Jobs will do things exactly the same way as he has always done things, and this time Apple will become bigger, sexier, and more powerful than Microsoft." See also: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hindsight_bias http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hindsight_bias Hindsight bias is the inclination to see events that have occurred as more predictable than they in fact were before they took place. Hindsight bias has been demonstrated experimentally in a variety of settings...