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Sure, we can point to exceptions after the fact. That doesn't mean every company is going to follow those trajectories. In other words, criticism is still valid
by amirmc 10y ago
Sure, we can point to exceptions after the fact. That doesn't mean every company is going to follow those trajectories. In other words, criticism is still valid.
- dang 10y agoBy the same argument you can predict that everything will fail and be right most of the time. That sort of blanket dismissal is intellectually lazy and therefore uninteresting. Let's try to do better than that here.
- amirmc 10y ago> By the same argument you can predict that everything will fail and be right most of the time. Yes, exactly. It's worth reminding people that for every success there are many unheard of failures. I find it lazy when people claim "They said that about <example>", as if that's actually a counterpoint (it isn't).
- kartan 10y agoYep. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Survivorship_bias https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Survivorship_bias