3 ms·
> _I_ am proof? I wonder why you are making it personal. Its not about me though is it? Fair enough. Your post is proof > Do _you_ think that all of these lar
by frgtpsswrdlame 10y ago
> _I_ am proof? I wonder why you are making it personal. Its not about me though is it?
Fair enough. Your post is proof
> Do _you_ think that all of these large programs, companies, investors would be so publicly pursuing this goal if it were not feasible?
Sure, it happens all the time.
> If not within two years, then how many years do you think it will be before these projects yield results that have human-like generality or abilities?
I'm not sure those projects ever will but in general before we get AGI? It's totally unpredictable. My current best guess is that self-driving car systems won't be as good as promised and because they've pierced the public consciousness, we will get AI backlash setting in another AI winter. This winter will trim the fat of all the crap that gets published now and maybe* a couple new fundamental techniques will be born. Maybe those techniques lead to AGI when we emerge from the winter. We'll get AGI like we'll get cold fusion. When it comes it comes.
> We have already achieved super-human intelligence in numerous particular domains.
Sure but show me a system that can do just two unrelated tasks. Doesn't even have to do them above human intelligence, but something that can say put blocks in holes like a two year old and do some basic language processing. Or play chess and recognize pictures of dogs. What kind of leap is even required to get there?