I think sometimes people get confused about percent CHANCE versus actual estimated results. All those people need to do is go to the election forecast page, wh

I think sometimes people get confused about percent CHANCE versus actual estimated results. All those people need to do is go to the election forecast page, which is still up[1], and look at the percentages under "Popular vote". Or down lower under "How the forecast has changed", click POPULAR VOTE to see the percentages over time. For instance, the final pre-election estimate before the election gives: - CHANCE TO WIN of 71.4% Clinton vs. 28.6% Trump, around a 1 in 3.5 chance for Trump to win. - RESULTS ESTIMATE of 48.5% Clinton vs. 44.9% Trump, with a big overlapping margin of error. [1]https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/ https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/