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It goes back to No One Ever Got Fired For Buying IBM. ;-) When I came out of comp sci school in 1978, everyone thought that DEC and Data General had an insurmo

It goes back to No One Ever Got Fired For Buying IBM. ;-) When I came out of comp sci school in 1978, everyone thought that DEC and Data General had an insurmountable lead and that PCs were toys. Then they thought Macs were toys. Then they thought the web was a toy. I've been to countless tech conferences where the top guy from some "dominant" company told the tale of how dominant they were and two years later they were slinking around in the back of the room, no one wanting to talk to them. I could name names, but just read my blog. Hubris is a terrible thing and tech is filled with it. And your post was totally a product of hubris ;-)

xiaoma 10y ago
You can call it hubris, but my goal is truth. I don't have any financial or even emotional stake in WP and am just trying to make the best predictions I can. In my experience, you don't hone those skills unless you actually have the nerve to make the predictions and then follow up on them. Your reasoning on DEC and Data General make sense, but were either of them open source? In a sense, betting against WP is like betting against GCC 30 years ago when all the alternatives were proprietary. Either way, I'm happy to check back in a few years and see if the hubris was my prediction or your armchair psychologist reaction to it (・ω<)