> This conclusion seems implausible. It's plausible under the assumptions that Democrats tend to field a moderate candidate in their primary and Republicans do

> This conclusion seems implausible. It's plausible under the assumptions that Democrats tend to field a moderate candidate in their primary and Republicans don't. That seems pretty reasonable to say right now, but might be less true in a few years as die-hard progressives mount our own "Tea Party"-style insurgency within the Democratic Party.