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There are people in the world who do not understand probability. Like the OP: EBS is either reliable or not. You cannot be a little pregnant. Even the OP's me
by mechanical_fish 17y ago
There are people in the world who do not understand probability. Like the OP:
EBS is either reliable or not. You cannot be a little pregnant.
Even the OP's metaphor is broken! The saying "you cannot be a little bit pregnant" may be traditional, but it too is only an approximation. There are these things called miscarriages. They happen all the time, often before a woman realizes she is pregnant. Then there are the false pregnancies:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/False_pregnancy http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/False_pregnancy
And these are just the common edge cases.
- astrodust 17y agoYou can be "a little bit pregnant" when you're talking about large groups of people. Of the women in your country, how many are pregnant at any given time? It's probably "a little bit". Obviously someone is confusing a statistical sampling of 1 with the kind of volume Amazon must deal with. I find it informative that a rare event such as this is being given so much press. If this was more routine, this wouldn't be news. Amazon seems to be doing better than 0.1% based on that alone.