The real Flash "killer" is whatever commercial product they release to compete with the Flash artist tools. The only people who care about Flash are those with

The real Flash "killer" is whatever commercial product they release to compete with the Flash artist tools. The only people who care about Flash are those with investments. Artists don't want to relearn tools, or worse; their worst fear is writing code as a replacement for an animation timeline. The businesses that employ these artists are happy with the existing pipeline, and any switch in platform looks like a huge risk. Every unbiased developer I talk to perceives a move away from Flash as a better Internet. It seems we don't move for the same reason we're using QWERTY rather than Dvorak keyboards. Regardless of their motivation, Apple pushing Flash toward obsolescence is a net win. The tipping point will be when someone, maybe even Adobe, releases a product identical to existing tools.