2 ms·
This is a little unfair, it's not clear to me why academics would always have worse predications than any other body of people. This especially goes for the pre
by asafira 10y ago
This is a little unfair, it's not clear to me why academics would always have worse predications than any other body of people. This especially goes for the presidential outcomes predictions.
- azinman2 10y agoEspecially when most predictions were for her. Also, if that summary is true, that meant 1% likelihood for Trump. Not zero. That's how stats work.
- paulddraper 10y ago> it's not clear to me why academics would always have worse predications than any other body of people You're right; it's a problem with predictions _generally_. It's just that academics make predictions that carry more credibility.