Yes, I agree, to a point. However, if we suppose that Autopilot driving was several orders of magnitude safer than normal driving, the probability that the (ad

Yes, I agree, to a point. However, if we suppose that Autopilot driving was several orders of magnitude safer than normal driving, the probability that the (admittedly poor) statistics at this point would show it being equal to normal driving is very low. If I say "black swans are extremely rare in this part of the world", and you spot one the very next day, the Bayesian in you would assign a low probability to my statement being true, even though that's based on a sample size of one.