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Statistically, the error bar is so large that your statement, and the one you're replying to, are not accurate. We don't know because there's too little data.
by greglindahl 10y ago
Statistically, the error bar is so large that your statement, and the one you're replying to, are not accurate. We don't know because there's too little data.
- semi-extrinsic 10y agoYes, I agree, to a point. However, if we suppose that Autopilot driving was several orders of magnitude safer than normal driving, the probability that the (admittedly poor) statistics at this point would show it being equal to normal driving is very low. If I say "black swans are extremely rare in this part of the world", and you spot one the very next day, the Bayesian in you would assign a low probability to my statement being true, even though that's based on a sample size of one.