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> There are oodles of people doing the same thing, who have access to better information, have more experience, have better search/screening systems, and so on.
by lotharbot 17y ago
> There are oodles of people doing the same thing, who have access to better information, have more experience, have better search/screening systems, and so on.
If you're playing the short-term investment game, all of those things matter hugely. It's a zero-sum game. In order to make money at it, you have to have a better system than the rest of the people playing -- just like making money on sports betting.
They don't matter nearly so much in the long term. Long-term investing isn't zero-sum; economies can grow, and your goal is to own a growing piece of the economy. There are oodles of people playing the long-term game, but the market is big enough that even I, with my relatively limited information, can make good solid investments.
Consider this a corollary to "the market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent". The market can offer irrational bargains to such a degree that even once those with better information have had their fill, there's some left over for people like me.
- davidw 17y agoToday, there's a story on the front page that ends with this paragraph: "Around 3 p.m., the selling pressure abated. Just as swiftly as the market fell, it recovered ground. One factor behind the swift recovery, traders say, were funds that use computers and formulas to sniff out bargains in the market. These funds swooped in on hundreds of cheap stocks, helping push the market higher." It really sounds to me like you have to have insider information, or something close, to have a good chance of getting something on the cheap, because otherwise the price is going to get pushed up again by people with better and faster research tools.