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Some people use Black Scholes to price options but that can be very hard, as there are two unknowns (volatility and if anyone has preferences over you). A few
by mathattack 10y ago
Some people use Black Scholes to price options but that can be very hard, as there are two unknowns (volatility and if anyone has preferences over you).
A few questions you can and should ask:
1 - What was the last valuation based on outside investors, and how long ago was it?
2 - How many preferences are in the cap table? (If a group of investors put in 100 million with a 2X liquidation preference then they are guaranteed to get 200 million before others get anything)
3 - Related to 2, ask at what exit value all shareholders get treated the same.
4 - Ask about how soon you would have to exercise upon leaving. (Frequently 90 days)
5 - See if the stock is trading in any secondary markets, or if there is news of public market investors remarking their shares.
6 - Ask about growth projections. (EBITDA for PE funded companies, Revenue for VC backed)
7 - Ask if future rounds will be needed. (If the business isn't close to cash flow positive and there are a lot of growth projected, this will take a lot of money)
Net - there is a price the investors put per share on their stock. Yours should be at some discount to that. So if the investors value it at $1300 then you should come in less, much less. (And if it's too much less than the strike price, you are betting on a lot of growth)