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pundits have been predicting the bubble bursting here since the GFC. But the 'economic miracle' of the housing boom keeps rolling on in Sydney and Melbourne. W
by petecox 10y ago
pundits have been predicting the bubble bursting here since the GFC. But the 'economic miracle' of the housing boom keeps rolling on in Sydney and Melbourne.
With Australian interest rates at record lows, property investors keep borrowing unperturbed.
- stephen_g 10y agoThat's extremely illogical thinking though. If the pundits have good reasons for thinking the market will crash (and I believe they do), and the fact that it hasn't yet doesn't make it less likely, or mean it won't happen. It just means that it's likely to happen sooner rather than later! It's not an economic miracle, it's a huge amount of asset speculation built on one of the largest levels of household debt in the world, just like in the US and many other countries before the GFC. All it will take is a rise in unemployment, or a shock from China, and it will go (of course interest rates won't rise, the RBA would have to be insane).