17 years doesn't seem too far off. Tim Detmer's detailed analysis puts it anywhere from 2037 to 2078, with his preference the latter (or later). http://timdet

17 years doesn't seem too far off. Tim Detmer's detailed analysis puts it anywhere from 2037 to 2078, with his preference the latter (or later). http://timdettmers.com/2015/07/27/brain-vs-deep-learning-singularity/ http://timdettmers.com/2015/07/27/brain-vs-deep-learning-sin... A key assumption I don't share with Detmer is that we must match the brain's raw computational power to have a chance at human-level AI. From an evolutionary point of view, most of the brain's computations surely must be superfluous to intelligence and necessary instead to a vast host of other biological functions.