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> Please stop accusing people of being 100% confident. To quote you: > No. I believe the official version > What is the alternate hypothesis that's "marginal
by wyager 10y ago
> Please stop accusing people of being 100% confident.
To quote you:
> No. I believe the official version
> What is the alternate hypothesis that's "marginally less likely"?
That Russia didn't hack the DNC. I think it's actually marginally more likely than that Russia didn't hack the DNC than that they did, but I was humoring you.
- mundo 10y agoI repeat: > "Why are US intelligence agencies saying they have proof that Russia hacked the DNC?" The base hypothesis is "Because they do." The alternate hypothesis is what you're supplying.
- wyager 10y agoWhat do you mean by "base hypothesis" or "alternate hypothesis"? Those aren't real terms in hypothesis testing. I think you might want to do some reading on Bayesian reasoning, and its relationship to Occam's razor.
- mundo 10y agoThose are not highfalutin technical terms, just casual everyday language. Stop waffling and tell me what this theory is that I'm a brainwashed sheep for not believing!