3 ms·
Do you realise you are betting against the entirety - literally - of the automotive industry?
by mfukar 10y ago
Do you realise you are betting against the entirety - literally - of the automotive industry?
- cm2012 10y agoMost of the auto industry is not acting as if there is a 5 year timeline to self driving. More like 20 years.
- taneq 10y agoSeriously? Tesla, Mercedes, BMW, and Uber are all aiming for "a year or so". Volkswagen and Volvo seem to be about a year behind that. Don't get me wrong, I think there are significant challenges to overcome, but this "self-driving is always 20 years away" view doesn't mesh with most credible projections.
- greglindahl 10y agoThat depends on if you're talking about level 3, 4, or 5 autonomy, on what kind of roads, and under what kind of weather conditions. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Autonomous_car#Classification https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Autonomous_car#Classification I don't think anyone says level 5 autonomy in bad weather is close.
- mfukar 10y agohttps://techcrunch.com/2016/12/20/bmw-to-open-a-new-autonomous-driving-development-center-near-munich/ https://techcrunch.com/2016/12/20/bmw-to-open-a-new-autonomo... https://techcrunch.com/2017/01/04/nvidia-and-audi-aim-to-bring-a-self-driving-ai-car-to-market-by-2020/ https://techcrunch.com/2017/01/04/nvidia-and-audi-aim-to-bri... That's just the first few stories, and autonomous driving is already in the works - don't expect these companies are starting from zero.
- theandrewbailey 10y agoThe automotive industry is only one piece of the puzzle. And narrowrail disagrees (as do I) that the change will happen in 5 years. That's less than the average age of all vehicles being used!
- stale2002 10y agoAverage age doesn't matter. 95 percent of the time a car sits unused. You don't need to replace 100 percent of the cars. You only need to replace 5 percent of them.
- quicklyfrozen 10y agoI don't know about you, but I seem to need to get around at about the same time as a lot of other people (and usually in the same direction).
- deleted 10y ago[deleted]
- jedberg 10y agoTaxis are replaced roughly every two years because they are driven so hard. Passenger vehicles changing to autonomous won't affect jobs, but taxis going autonomous will.
- bluedino 10y agoVoice recognition still doesn't work. How long has that been just around the corner?
- lucidrains 10y agohttps://arxiv.org/abs/1610.05256 https://arxiv.org/abs/1610.05256
- bobdole1234 10y agoUh. Sure it does.