2 ms·
Found a simple way to test... IMDB allows us to query against death year. 2016 = 3,636 people with IMDB pages to date have died (http://www.imdb.com/search/nam
by dbg31415 10y ago
Found a simple way to test... IMDB allows us to query against death year.
2016 = 3,636 people with IMDB pages to date have died (http://www.imdb.com/search/name?death_date=2016&ref_=nm_ov_dth_year http://www.imdb.com/search/name?death_date=2016&ref_=nm_ov_d... -- doesn't include all politicians or other famous folks, but certainly some of those people had IMDB pages at this point.)
2015 = 4,064 (My guess is the higher numbers were due to more time for data entry / updates.)
2014 = 3,793
2013 = 3,764
2012 = 3,917
2011 = 3,780
2010 = 3,676 (Someone can do math on this, but I don't see a huge swing in the last 7 years.)
2000 = 2,395
1990 = 1,856
1980 = 1,555 (Possibly due to some data not being entered once we start getting "way far" back.)
Another view... http://www.imdb.com/search/name http://www.imdb.com/search/name
1920s = 2,185
http://www.imdb.com/search/name?death_date=1920-01-01,1929-12-31 http://www.imdb.com/search/name?death_date=1920-01-01,1929-1...
1930s = 3,608
1940s = 5,805 vs 2,556,000,053 total world population in 1950
http://www.infoplease.com/ipa/A0762181.html http://www.infoplease.com/ipa/A0762181.html
1950s = 7,381 vs 3,039,451,023 (+6.92% growth in deaths of famous people / all people vs previous decade)
1960s = 10,977 vs 3,706,618,163 (+21.95%)
1970s = 14,044 vs 4,453,831,714 (+6.48%)
1980s = 17,662 vs 5,278,639,789 (+6.11%)
1990s = 21,722 vs 6,082,966,429 (+6.73%)
2000s = 30,883 vs 6,848,932,929 (+26.27% -- an especially brutal decade for celebrities)
http://www.imdb.com/search/name?death_date=2000-01-01,2009-12-31 http://www.imdb.com/search/name?death_date=2000-01-01,2009-1...
2010s to date = 26,823
(2010s normalized at current rate = 38,319 vs 7,584,821,144 projected... or +12.04% vs previous decade)
Lots of things going on here... IMDB in the past didn't record a lot of international movies -- certainly part of the lower numbers compared to modern records. But there is a growth in celebrity over time. Celebrity death rates seem to vary quite a bit though. Welcome anyone checking my math... I haven't had coffee yet and this is far from scientific. (=