4 ms·

Yes because the deplyment of the code is the hard stage. rolls eyes How long would it take to write -- scientists are going through this stage right now and it

Yes because the deplyment of the code is the hard stage. rolls eyes How long would it take to write -- scientists are going through this stage right now and it's taking about 50 years so far. You think a paperclip factory is going to be quicker? Nope. And any smart AI that is being used to design a better AI will take years and will be front page news (assuming non-military) just like any other tech company (funding, profit, getting good hires) This assumption that the factory is smart in secret and buys more servers in secret and creates code somewhere in secret is just so wrong. It will be dog or dolphin smart at some point and will ask for things, it'll communicate with us.

lmm 10y ago
> How long would it take to write -- scientists are going through this stage right now and it's taking about 50 years so far. You think a paperclip factory is going to be quicker? Nope. And any smart AI that is being used to design a better AI will take years and will be front page news (assuming non-military) just like any other tech company (funding, profit, getting good hires) It may take years or decades, but the point is that once it reaches the point that it can make itself smarter, it'd go from "barely smarter than a human" to "inconceivably smart" in a matter of milliseconds. > This assumption that the factory is smart in secret and buys more servers in secret and creates code somewhere in secret is just so wrong. It will be dog or dolphin smart at some point and will ask for things, it'll communicate with us. Dogs and dolphins don't communicate with us very effectively. I think it's very plausible that the AI could get to beyond-human-level smart without ever spontaneously deciding to talk to us. Are you sure there's a region where it's smart enough to talk but not smart enough to hide how smart it is?
- monk_e_boy 10y ago
  > it'd go from "barely smarter than a human" to "inconceivably smart" in a matter of milliseconds Incorrect. It will be interesting to come back to this thread in 50 years time and see who is right.

lmm 10y ago

> How long would it take to write -- scientists are going through this stage right now and it's taking about 50 years so far. You think a paperclip factory is going to be quicker? Nope. And any smart AI that is being used to design a better AI will take years and will be front page news (assuming non-military) just like any other tech company (funding, profit, getting good hires) It may take years or decades, but the point is that once it reaches the point that it can make itself smarter, it'd go from "barely smarter than a human" to "inconceivably smart" in a matter of milliseconds. > This assumption that the factory is smart in secret and buys more servers in secret and creates code somewhere in secret is just so wrong. It will be dog or dolphin smart at some point and will ask for things, it'll communicate with us. Dogs and dolphins don't communicate with us very effectively. I think it's very plausible that the AI could get to beyond-human-level smart without ever spontaneously deciding to talk to us. Are you sure there's a region where it's smart enough to talk but not smart enough to hide how smart it is?

monk_e_boy 10y ago
> it'd go from "barely smarter than a human" to "inconceivably smart" in a matter of milliseconds Incorrect. It will be interesting to come back to this thread in 50 years time and see who is right.