It seems more likely to me that Bayes work is applicable today because it has practical application and was misapplied to the whole religion thing. Some people

It seems more likely to me that Bayes work is applicable today because it has practical application and was misapplied to the whole religion thing. Some people are emotionally invested and come up with post-hoc rationalizations and sometimes those post-hoc rationalizations have useful stuff like Bayes theorem. We don't need to seriously look at discrepancies in history where written records were scant and what does exist clearly claims the impossible. We discount most of these out hand, because they are preposterous, even the ones with much better documentation. Why cling to this one? We wouldn't be having this conversation if it were a theory Aristotle came up with to defend Zeus or some ancient Indian philosopher in defense of some Hindu god. We have this conversation because in the Western world christianity is given a special level of credibility and defensive taboo that other fairy tales are not privy to. Let's just drop the pretense, we all know better by now or we are religious people.