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The problem isn't estimates. The problem is in turning estimates into deadlines. An estimate is probabilistic. There might be 50% chance I can get it done in a
by sheepmullet 10y ago
The problem isn't estimates. The problem is in turning estimates into deadlines.
An estimate is probabilistic. There might be 50% chance I can get it done in a week, 70% chance I can get it done in two weeks, and 95% chance I can get it done within the month.
That is great for long term planning. However, if you use that to give me a deadline of two weeks then there is a good chance I won't deliver. This kind of pressure is toxic.
- peterbonney 10y ago"This kind of pressure is toxic." Agreed. But that is a problem of bad management, not an inherent problem with making estimates. And bad managers gonna manage badly, whether or not you give them estimates of how long tasks will take.