Well, I understood you the first time, and it's not getting better. Scott Amundsen would say "Nate Silver gave Trump a 30% chance, 30% chances sometimes happen

Well, I understood you the first time, and it's not getting better. Scott Amundsen would say "Nate Silver gave Trump a 30% chance, 30% chances sometimes happen (about 30% of the time), and you and Scott Adams are trying to extrapolate a single point of data into a Grand Unifying Theory of why you're awesome and how liberals live in la-la-fantasy-land." The idea that some sort of personal connection to a different group of voters allows you to better predict election results than the combined effort of dozens of polling firms calling hundreds of thousands of people is laughable on it's face.