4 ms·

This is really insightful. Does this fallacy have an well known name?

• sbuttgereit 10y ago
  Not that I know of... the closest might be the Broken Window Fallacy (http://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/08/broken-window-fallacy.asp http://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/08/broken-window-fal...), where only the effect of "seen" outcomes are front of mind and considered, but "unseen" outcomes are ignored even if they are more impactful to reality.
• jraines 10y ago
  Sampling bias, I think
• evincarofautumn 10y ago
  I think it’s attrition bias, a form of selection bias. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Selection_bias#Attrition https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Selection_bias#Attrition
• sjbp 10y ago
  Self-selection bias : https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Self-selection_bias https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Self-selection_bias
• harterrt 10y ago
  Thanks! While I agree with the others calling this a type of sampling bias, I've seen this type of error frequently enough that I think it deserves a more specific name.