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> So I'm genuinely curious as to what the magic sauce is that makes people so giddy for this future. I think the magic sauce is utilization. A fully autonomous
by tza2016 10y ago
> So I'm genuinely curious as to what the magic sauce is that makes people so giddy for this future.
I think the magic sauce is utilization. A fully autonomous car's utilization rate can be close to 100%.
Higher utilization --> same demand for mobility hours/miles can be satisfied with fewer vehicles --> ceteris paribus, fewer vehicles sold every year.
Viewed through this lens, it seems inevitable that, in equilibrium (ie once the non-autonomous to autonomous fleet transition is complete) annual per-capita demand for vehicles will be lower with the advent of fully autonomous cars.
- serge2k 10y ago> A fully autonomous car's utilization rate can be close to 100 So if every car is almost always at 100% how am I going to be able to instantly get a car on demand from my suburban mcmansion?