3 ms·
If you use autonomous miles driven as a metric, there is actual progress happening. That metric is increasing exponentially btw. This tells you nothing about ti
by alooPotato 10y ago
If you use autonomous miles driven as a metric, there is actual progress happening. That metric is increasing exponentially btw. This tells you nothing about time to market, but it does tell you that the time to market is a definite (but maybe unknowable number).
In contrast, fission reactors have been around the corner for a long time, however, there if you use the metric of net power generated from fission as a metric, no real progress is being made there.
I see a real difference between these two "always around the corner" technologies.
- j_jochem 10y agoI think you meant to say fusion. Fission reactors have been in productive use for decades.
- alooPotato 10y agoyes you're correct, my mistake
- deleted 10y ago[deleted]
- tedsanders 10y agoFor many years, fusion reactors also experienced exponential growth in a key progress/performance indicator: https://www.google.com/search?q=fusion+progress&source=lnms&tbm=isch&sa=X&ved=0ahUKEwju4t-fr_LQAhUN6WMKHdeeCAYQ_AUICSgC&biw=614&bih=308#imgrc=tNeqSdatKNPh4M%3A https://www.google.com/search?q=fusion+progress&source=lnms&... I would encourage humility when considering whether to make a claim about a field that you are not well informed of. Real progress is being made, by a number of different groups, in a number of different directions.