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> Do those sorts of differences in early publishing predict later success? Absolutely yes. They are perhaps the most reliable yardstick for past success that w
by impendia 10y ago
> Do those sorts of differences in early publishing predict later success?
Absolutely yes. They are perhaps the most reliable yardstick for past success that we have available, and past success is the best predictor of future success.
- rflrob 10y agoCitation? Also, it's worth pointing out that the question was not "do they predict success", but "do they predict success controlling for pedigree". Ive been thinking for a while on how you might actually measure the effect of pedigree, beyond the identity of university. I believe that the specific research group matters, but that's a lot harder to prove (smaller N, harder to get reliable data about counterfacuals).
- JumpCrisscross 10y ago> it's worth pointing out that the question was not "do they predict success", but "do they predict success controlling for pedigree" This is a valid social question. As a hirer, however, you are measured by your success, not your success benchmarked to some other thing.