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From my analysis of London super prime ( I use two groupings £5-10m, £10m+ ), it appears that there is such a disconnect between this group and the "normal" Lon
by alva 10y ago
From my analysis of London super prime ( I use two groupings £5-10m, £10m+ ), it appears that there is such a disconnect between this group and the "normal" London housing market, that they may as well be different countries.
In some sections of the housing market, lets say £1m, a devaluation appears to have a significant effect on properties beneath that valuation. The correlation is extremely high. In this bracket of buyers you have (well off) working professionals, lawyers, finance etc. Rich by almost everyones standards. Lots of them around means lots of competition for a certain stock of housing.
What you also have is high thousands of extremely rich people from around the world (particularly Russia, Saudi and other ME). London is a refuge for super high net worth individuals for a variety of reasons, culture, relative freedom, history, availability of beautiful mansions. The most important reasons probably being national stability (financial and security) as well as a comprehensive and enforced legal system. Not to mention, a subset of these buyers are parking money stolen from the people of their country. Try physically confiscating a 250 year old Mayfair townhouse! UK legal protections means a seizure of the property is unlikely/very difficult.
The property desired by this group as so disconnected from usual London housing that it is unlikely to have knock on effects if prices decline. This type of person is not going to downsize to 'normal' housing.
This is just something to bear in mind when reading reports on London property prices declining. The last year saw a single digit percentage drop in asking prices, except the majority of this was in the £10m+ plus range.
- fredley 10y ago£1m is the price of what would elsewhere be considered a normal sized 'house'. You can't get anything with two bedrooms for less than £500,000. £1m is a good metric for London property.
- alva 10y agoAgree with the last two points. The first however is an understatement. Outside London ( and commute belt ), £1m buys you a seriously luxurious house. Even in major, desirable cities like Edinburgh, £1m buys you a 6 bed, granite, Georgian townhouse in the absolute best spot in the city. London prices are seriously crazy.
- fredley 10y agoSorry, I should have qualified, £1m is for an average house inside London. Outside of course it's barmy money.