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Shouldn't this be exactly the contrary? If you have 10 independent coin flips, the chance of getting 10 heads is < 0.1%, while if they are perfectly correlated,
by othello 10y ago
Shouldn't this be exactly the contrary? If you have 10 independent coin flips, the chance of getting 10 heads is < 0.1%, while if they are perfectly correlated, then it simply becomes 50%.
Having 10 independent causes of death going up simultaneously is very unlikely to be caused by random chance. Rather it's an indication of an external phenomenon influencing all causes simultaneously.
- yk 10y agoThe argument is the other way round, they should not be correlated, or if they are correlated they should be correlated in an obvious way, therefore it is likely random chance compared to the situation were suddenly there is a spike in violent death because of nuclear war or something.