I'm not sure what you mean by that. 538 projected the election at 70/30, which gave Trump a much bigger chance than all other models. Moreover, the final outcom

I'm not sure what you mean by that. 538 projected the election at 70/30, which gave Trump a much bigger chance than all other models. Moreover, the final outcome of an electoral college/popular vote split was a specific risk Nate Silver called out repeatedly.