3 ms·
From NYT Upshot's Nate Cohn: - "Metro Wisconsin, where Clinton did well, uses paper; rural Wisc, where she collapsed like everywhere, is electronic. https://ww
by joshwa 10y ago
From NYT Upshot's Nate Cohn:
- "Metro Wisconsin, where Clinton did well, uses paper; rural Wisc, where she collapsed like everywhere, is electronic. https://www.verifiedvoting.org/verifier/#year/2016/state/55" https://www.verifiedvoting.org/verifier/#year/2016/state/55" https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/801217804783394816 https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/801217804783394816
- Remember it's not just Wisconsin here. 1. Michigan only uses optical scan. http://www.michigan.gov/sos/0,1607,7-127-1633_8716_45458---,00.html http://www.michigan.gov/sos/0,1607,7-127-1633_8716_45458---,... 2. The margin in PA is 65k votes. 65k. https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/801219149326385152 https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/80121914932638515... retweeted by @Nate_Cohn
- joshwa 10y agoAnd Nate Silver: - To follow: some _very_ quick analysis which suggests the claim here of rigged results in Wisconsin is probably BS: http://nym.ag/2gI6YLP http://nym.ag/2gI6YLP - Run a regression on Wisc. counties with >=50K people, and you find that Clinton improved more in counties with only paper ballots. HOWEVER: https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/801221546685661184/photo/1 https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/801221546685661184/... - ...the effect COMPLETELY DISAPPEARS once you control for race and education levels, the key factors in predicting vote shifts this year. https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/801221907609579520/photo/1 https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/801221907609579520/... https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/801220813890277376 https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/801220813890277376
- Natsu 10y agoNate has a full article here that's likely better than a few tweets for discussing something like this: http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/demographics-not-hacking-explain-the-election-results/ http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/demographics-not-hacking...