12 ms·
It's entirely possibly that most people might be planning on voting for a candidate, but incorrectly believe that most other people were planning on voting for
by Lazare 10y ago
It's entirely possibly that most people might be planning on voting for a candidate, but incorrectly believe that most other people were planning on voting for their opponent.
- PhantomGremlin 10y agoThat's certainly quite possible. But in the final weeks the US election had close polling. Clinton was leading Trump by less than 5% in most polls and was actually behind in a few of them (Matt Drudge always managed to find those polls to link to). So it's hard to understand why people might have those beliefs in a relatively close election. Easier to understand if the election was predicted to be a blowout. But blowouts don't happen that often. The most recent true blowout I experienced was Reagan vs Mondale in 1984. An electoral blowout, only Minnesota and DC voted for Mondale. But the popular vote was closer, roughly 59%/41%.
- deleted 10y ago[deleted]
- dajohnson89 10y agoWhy isn't anyone considering that within the margin of error, the polls were correct? Isn't the confidence interval +/- a few percentage points anyways??
- deleted 10y ago[deleted]
- deleted 10y ago[deleted]
- deleted 10y ago[deleted]