4 ms·
That's an argument about priors. In the face of actual evidence of its reality, priors establish significance not believability.
by kobeya 10y ago
That's an argument about priors. In the face of actual evidence of its reality, priors establish significance not believability.
- inimino 10y agoNo... priors are precisely about believability. Any evidence can be explained either by the effect or by experimental error. Your prior is how relatively likely these two possibilities are. If something is "significant" then it is surprising and requires stronger evidence.