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Being in the computing world we take deflation for granted. Things get cheaper and better, year after year and in a non-linear fashion. No one argues that thing
by AJ007 10y ago
Being in the computing world we take deflation for granted. Things get cheaper and better, year after year and in a non-linear fashion. No one argues that things would be way better in 2016 if everyone had to pay $26,000 for 1980s era 8086s.
In the short term putting a floor on incomes is going to hurt a lot of people. Increasing minimum wage can be viewed as a way to make it illegal to hire humans over robots. I don't know current prices, but a Knightscope robot was supposed to work out at or below minimum wage. Low interest rates are a double blow because you can finance a six figure robot at a very attractive rate.
In the West I see policies being driven by inflation targets along with an attempt to build a high-income well educated workforce (this is the really, really nice way of saying things.) I see only the briefest hints of this outlook changing.
There are going to be transition periods. Everything I have read doesn't do a good job at this. Policies in stage one could be very destructive at stage two, and vice versa. The demographics of the human population also must be strongly considered. A lot of countries have inverted pyramids. The current standard of living will not be sustainable without either a lot of immigration or mass scale automation.
The long term goals should, #1 be humans surviving as a species and #2 having an extremely high standard of sustainable living. Neither is remotely guaranteed.