It's even worse than you state -- those are just percentage points off, not full percentage off. To restate: Wisconsin last poll 41% for trump, Wisconsin resu

It's even worse than you state -- those are just percentage points off, not full percentage off. To restate: Wisconsin last poll 41% for trump, Wisconsin result 49% (~8 percentage points off, or 20% off) Michigan last poll 42% for trump, Michigan result 48% (~6 percentage points off, or 14% off) North Carolina last poll 45% for trump, North carolina result 51% (~6 percentage points off, or 13% off) Florida last poll 45% for trump, Florida result 49% (~4 percentage points off, or 9% off)