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It is interesting to read that so little has changed since the days of Caesar. Reading his Gallic War you'd think the war was won by digging ditches and buildin
by pjungwir 10y ago
It is interesting to read that so little has changed since the days of Caesar. Reading his Gallic War you'd think the war was won by digging ditches and building walls. For instance, search for "fortification" on this page:
http://classics.mit.edu/Caesar/gallic.5.5.html http://classics.mit.edu/Caesar/gallic.5.5.html
Contrast with Galba in the early chapters of
http://classics.mit.edu/Caesar/gallic.3.3.html http://classics.mit.edu/Caesar/gallic.3.3.html
You would only exaggerate a little to say that in his telling, victory is all about being prepared and not slacking off.
- dogma1138 10y agoThat isn't very surprising you win a war by controlling territory which is why boots on the ground are always needed to win an actual war, to control a territory you need fortifications. A properly fortified base can take pretty much any conventional artillery fire for weeks without taking any real damage and unless there is an all out assault you can hold out as long as you have food and water, ammo might not even be that important as long as the enemy doesn't know that and or is incapable of scaling the fortifications. Even when we'll be fighting on Mars and the jovian moons you'll still will have grunts digging trenches unless for some reason the war is going to transform to purely strategic weapons in which case it's usually the side that either has more or strikes first who would win.
- SEJeff 10y agoBut it can't take missiles, especially not the newer (last 10-15 year old) "Bunker Buster" style bombs.
- dogma1138 10y agoBunker busters are designed to go through a few meters of reinforced concrete and soil a 10 inch concrete wall won't protect you either.
- SEJeff 10y agoRight, hence my statement that a properly fortified base (from the GP) can't protect shit from missiles.
- dogma1138 10y agoBunker busters are not really conventional artillery even if they are not nuclear. These are also not missiles, but very very heavy bombs. And you can also reinforce against them, just usually not at the FOB level, but considering the cost of every one of those bombs they aren't really going to be used to blow up a pillbox on a hill. A fortified base will also not protect you from strategic bombardment on a massive scale, but that doesn't mean they are useless even against nations with modern standing armies, it's not like they are going to attack every outpost and base with everything they got, that would be pointless. Force depletion can happen rapidly without any casualties, if you are going to use the bombs you would want to use to take out strategic command and control centers, factories, and natural resource reserves to blow up a couple of of dirt boxes you ain't going to be winning that war. On the other hand pretty much the most basic field fortification will be enough to nullify virtually all field artillery which is exactly what it's likely to encounter - self propelled howitzers, mortars, and multi-role ground attack missiles.
- SEJeff 10y agoI'll respectfully beg to differ. At the beginning of the US war in Afghanistan (at the time I was a US Army UAV "drone" pilot in training), for the first 48 hours, a Tomahawk cruise missile was fired, on average, every 12 seconds. They were firing at all kinds of things up to an including caves! I think that would qualify as firing everything you've got at little outposts. I think ultimately it depends on the situation and the resolve of the aggressor to take you out. After 9/11, the US went balls to the walls with conventional military.
- dogma1138 10y agoThat's because the US conducts modern wars like it has an unlimited supply of everything, mostly because it doesn't need to worry about the economics of the otherside. This is why I specifically talked about wars where there is any level of parallelism between the belligerents. The US will not fire a 2M missile at every Russian pillbox if there would be a real war, because they would lose. When you are fighting the Taliban who doesn't have any real long range or strategic weapons you don't really care about force depletion, if you are fighting a standing army with equal equipment, equal or greater manpower and at least as far as war economy goes equal or greater production capabilities you start picking your targets with considerably more discrimination. The US excels at combined arms coordination, but it also makes it's engagement very wasteful, granted one can argue that losing less men is important than having more bombs but that doesn't go very far once the economics of a full war with an equal opponent kick in. If you are going to waste an airstrike on every ground engagement, and a Javelin missile on every truck you'll have issues when 50,000 tanks start rolling into Europe (these are cold war numbers, chillax ;)). Shock and Awe might work against Iraq and the Taliban, it wouldn't work against China or Russia, they can withstand it and return in kind, you also will never push a nuclear power into a corner, so US tactics will change to facilitate holding and controlling the ground rather than carpet bombing Beijing or Moscow for 48 hours expecting a surrender. If nothing else is that this only works when you can unilaterally walk out of the fight like the US can do it now, they could and had dumped everything they could on Afghanistan and Iraq and they can and did just walked away, if you do the same thing to a country that can then chase you home you probably going to reconsider how you wage war.
- andrewflnr 10y agoWith regards to space, I think your second scenario there is more likely. Dropping things from space is pretty easy, and most anything like that is going to qualify as a strategic weapon.
- aaron695 10y ago> Dropping things from space is pretty easy, and most anything like that is going to qualify as a strategic weapon. If you allow this, everyone dies. So not much use preparing for this other than mutually assured destruction.
- zigzigzag 10y agoNot necessarily. I imagine the wars of the future will largely be automated and wars will be won or lost almost purely on logistics and manufacturing supply chain management. Do you need walls when you have a drone above doing surveillance and an army of quadrocopters or other robotic flying machines that are doing 24/7 patrols along the perimeter and can arrive within 30 seconds?
- Houshalter 10y ago>Do you need walls when you have a drone above doing surveillance and an army of quadrocopters or other robotic flying machines that are doing 24/7 patrols Do you really think this is a stable strategy? Drones are probably cheaper to shoot down than they are to build. At least the quadcopters. Imagine a few very fast automated shotgun turrets with birdshot. Even if war is automated, the same basic strategies apply. The fortifications will just be built and manned by robots instead of humans.
- zigzigzag 10y agoDrones of the US Military type fly very high and are thus quite difficult to shoot down, especially if they have anti-missile missiles (I doubt any currently do as they are only used in battlefields where the enemy doesn't have good missiles). Quadrocopters could certainly be shot down by robots, but probably not by humans once they get fast enough at flipping themselves around and making evasive maneuvers.
- dogma1138 10y agoAnti missile defense other than jamming and decoys do not exist for airborne platforms. US drones operate in an uncontested environment let them try fly over Russian or Chinese airspace, the soviet shot down a bloody U2 thy can hit a globalhawk or a reaper.
- ethbro 10y agohttps://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/AGM-88_HARM https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/AGM-88_HARM ?
- carlob 10y agoIt's also interesting to see how the article fails to mention a more recent, infamous example of the deployment of concrete to control an urban environment: the Berlin Wall.
- yread 10y agoI was also thinking about Caesar when reading the article especially the Battle of Alesia - his greatest battle. He sieged and surrounded Vercingotrix by a wall, Vercingotrix called for reinforcements so Caesar built an outer wall to protect himself from them. Then they both attacked him and even though he was surrounded and outnumbered 4:1 he somehow managed to win! https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Alesia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Alesia
- pjungwir 10y agoThat is definitely an even better example. :-) I do like that you can see it even with Ctrl+F though. And I think that he uses Galba very skillfully as a foil to his own command.
- mercer 10y agoA while ago I read an article that explained and visualized the Battle of Alesia and it was one of the best things I'd read in a long time. I wish I could find it, but this article does a decent job: http://www.thecivilengineer.org/online-historical-database-of-civil-infrastructure/item/399-walls-at-alesia http://www.thecivilengineer.org/online-historical-database-o... If anyone can recommend similar articles on weird/impressive/ballsy historical battle gambits, I'd love to hear it!
- steamer25 10y agoI was also reminded of the Romans as related on the History Channel show "Engineering an Empire". They talked a lot about how the Romans used concrete for various purposes including aqueducts, etc. Iirc, they mentioned that they'd built a building with a vaulted concrete dome that we weren't able to reproduce, even after the re-discovery of cement, until we had computers.
- rm_-rf_slash 10y agoA lot of simple tactics are overlooked by a society raised in decadent comfort compared to the Romans, or any other agricultural-era empire. Our overwhelming force and technology has come at a cost to our creativity. If you look at most battles throughout history, there is a single, simple tactic that almost always assured victory: rolling logs downhill at your enemy. But because we have so much whiz-bang tech doing our fighting for us we've delegated our thinking as well. A marine I know of often complained that the most effective tactic the Iraqi insurgents utilized again and again was to set up a missile or RPG pointed generally in the direction of a military base and fire it off long after they've left the area. Even if the rocket doesn't get anywhere close to do any damage, everybody has to stop what they're doing and go on the defensive, and even when they've located the source of the attack, nobody's there. A stupid rocket that doesn't damage anything can bleed the U.S. Military of millions of dollars at a time.
- JoeAltmaier 10y agoMy son was based in Mosul. He reported the same tactic. A timer on the rocket; set it and leave. Most detonated against the fence or fell outside the fence. Occasionally one would fall in the compound, once during morning muster. It detonated against the wall of the building in front of everybody. To their surprise not a scratch on anybody. It erodes your mental health, never knowing when a random explosion might happen. Damaging in its way just like a bullet.