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"I conclude that the climate models are not fit for the purpose" Without any statistical treatment at all. And then later puts "expert opinion" of others in qu
by jwatte 10y ago
"I conclude that the climate models are not fit for the purpose"
Without any statistical treatment at all. And then later puts "expert opinion" of others in quotes.
At that point, I lost confidence in the analysis. Do some well known numerical and statistical tests of the models, and create a Bayesian based estimate based on all the models, and see where you end up instead!
- jamez1 10y agoPerhaps you missed her point about selection bias? Only models confirming climate change can be published, any analysis is just going to confirm that. It's unfortunate because climate change could be happening, but we aren't going to learn much more about it because research can't be invalidated. We've killed the skepticism science needs to function. She's not denying it's happening, she's just not buying the grandiose narrative. I'm glad to hear her view, even just to know that it's there.