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Sometimes it is worth looking at what if we go all in on a technology, what happens and how will that play out. So lets assume we are going nuc crazy and are o
by jerven 10y ago
Sometimes it is worth looking at what if we go all in on a technology, what happens and how will that play out.
So lets assume we are going nuc crazy and are ordering a 10 GW of plants. Can any nuclear power plant builder actually build this within 5 years? 10 years? Areva can't, Westinghouse seems to take 8. Who is going to man them, where is the training capacity for that many engineers.
Consider that if a grid is full nuclear, capacity factors drop to 50%. Unless, you have lots of storage i.e. same as wind and solar.
If I order 30gw of solar today, who can build that out in 10 years? lots of companies can. First Solar, Panasonic, LG and many more
If I order 30gw of wind today, who can build that out in 10 years? lots of companies can. e.g. Vesta, Enercon, GE and more
Nuclear construction capacity has dropped over the years and will take significant time to rebuild and re-equip.
That takes significant financial resources. Can anyone afford that at this time considering the competition of solar and wind?
Basically, isn't wind+solar+storage a lot cheaper and easier to finance than nuclear? So why go for the big central plants with lots of project risks.
- tristor 10y agoThis is the long-tail effect of society being irrationally anti-nuclear for so long, despite all the favorable evidence. I think being able to be 100% wind/solar is a pipe dream with the continued growth in power usage especially by data-centers. It makes sense to start making decisions now that will continue the positive impact, even if those plants aren't able to come online for 20 years. The additional capacity will still be useful.
- sanxiyn 10y ago> So lets assume we are going nuc crazy and are ordering a 10 GW of plants. Can any nuclear power plant builder actually build this within 5 years? 10 years? China can. As a matter of fact, China connected 20 GW (20863 MW to be exact) capacity to grid within 5 years, from 2012 to 2016. Check for yourself using IAEA PRIS(Power Reactor Information System): https://www.iaea.org/PRIS/CountryStatistics/CountryDetails.aspx?current=CN https://www.iaea.org/PRIS/CountryStatistics/CountryDetails.a...