Question is what is the definition of slow and predictable in this case? 43mbpd shortfall(about half of current usage) in 20 years is not that slow. Predictab

Question is what is the definition of slow and predictable in this case? 43mbpd shortfall(about half of current usage) in 20 years is not that slow. Predictable, well, these predictions could be off and possible we make another big discovery. Personally, I am not pessimistic, we will make alternatives as prices rise, but it will be rather painful.