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> Typical bluster from Trump. The problem is, it won't be up to him. He's not going to nominate socially liberal justices. Especially not with Pence by his sid
by byuu 10y ago
> Typical bluster from Trump.
The problem is, it won't be up to him. He's not going to nominate socially liberal justices. Especially not with Pence by his side and congress stacked with social conservatives.
Once he replaces Ginsberg, or Breyer, or Kennedy (it'll only take one), it's game over for social rights for the next 30-60 years. All of the replacements from both Bush and Obama have been much younger. Once those guys are out, it's going to be a generation before the court is refreshed again.
And once social issues are no longer rights, I guarantee the social conservatives will continue to use them as wedge issues to turn out the vote. And we'll see that every 8-16 years, rights keep getting restored and then taken away at the start of new (president+congress) or (super-majority congress) flip terms.
They've never given up on Roe v Wade. That one's gonna be gone for sure. We might have had a chance if we could uphold marriage equality for another 30 years. Just as there's no way they're overturning Loving v Virginia at this point. But it's too soon. Conservatives are still too riled up on this issue. If it gets overturned within the next 10 years, that'll doom us to a lifetime of fighting for marriage as a "privilege" instead of as a right.
> Trump's already walked back his promise on that.
It's not really going to be up to him, though. He says he wants to keep the pre-existing condition provision. But that only works if you keep the insurance mandate. It's like saying people should be able to get car insurance after a wreck.
Congress has tried, what, 170 times now to repeal the ACA? They're going to try it again, and what's Trump going to do? Veto his own party? What if they try and attach it to something important that he can't veto?
I'm not convinced they will repeal it, but I'm also not convinced they won't.
> The people within his base saw their health insurance premiums continue to go up under the ACA.
Oh yeah, the ACA is bad law. It's only very slightly better than what we had before. Rates are indeed sky rocketing still, since it's still a purely for-profit system; and the USSC helped undermine it by allowing states to opt-out of parts of it, leaving half of the people it was supposed to insure, well, uninsured. And the ones who aren't signing up now tend to be the ones we needed in the system to make it work. So now we have too many old people and people with pre-existing conditions, and not enough young and healthy people in the system to make it work.
But the alternative is that people with pre-existing conditions are told to just go die if they can't afford care. So, yeah.
Health Savings Accounts are going to be much less effective than the ACA.