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The day before the election, Nate Silver took a lot of heat from the left because he rated Trump's chance of success as being much higher than most other progno
by rjdagost 10y ago
The day before the election, Nate Silver took a lot of heat from the left because he rated Trump's chance of success as being much higher than most other prognosticators. The day after the election, he took a lot of heat from the same people because he didn't rate Trump's odds highly enough.
- inimino 10y agoThis has been fascinating to watch. Conjecture: before the election, liberals wanted reassurance, so he took heat for not being reassuring enough, afterwards they wanted someone to blame for their shock. Also relevant: people (other than gamblers) have no sense of what 70% means, so they round up to "Hillary".