3 ms·
It's an interesting story, but I don't think it passes the sniff test. First of all, the article states "not everyone on the list loses their vote", but doesn'
by pedalpete 10y ago
It's an interesting story, but I don't think it passes the sniff test.
First of all, the article states "not everyone on the list loses their vote", but doesn't say how many people on the 'purge list' did lose their vote.
Secondly, over half of eligible voters didn't vote. So do we divide those numbers on the purge list in half? Actually, it says the purge list was targeted at minorities, what % of those minorities turned out to vote?
Lastly, just because you were potentially eligible to vote, doesn't mean you would have voted for Clinton.
If these items where taken into account in the "crosscheck in action" section, should divide by two for likely to vote and * 0.52 for Clinton as popular vote - it "might" look more like
Trump victory margin in Michigan: 13,107
Michigan Crosscheck purge list* : 116,979
Trump victory margin in Arizona: 85,257
Arizona Crosscheck purge list: 70,414
Trump victory margin in North Carolina: 177,008
North Carolina Crosscheck purge list: 153,242
Pretty simplistic, but WOW, I even surprised myself with those numbers...