Re your edits: The first one asserts my point instead of yours (steady year-to-year growth). And the second one is the review of a book, whose author predicts

Re your edits: The first one asserts my point instead of yours (steady year-to-year growth). And the second one is the review of a book, whose author predicts what you claim but for a completely different reason (no more great technological leaps, nothing to do with demographics, globalization, or China).