2 ms·
Rightly or wrongly I think a sizeable portion of the world is tired of the flavour of stability the U.S. provides. I agree. However, I also think that a lot of
by quanticle 10y ago
Rightly or wrongly I think a sizeable portion of the world is tired of the flavour of stability the U.S. provides.
I agree. However, I also think that a lot of the world, especially Europe, has a strange and unrealistic vision of what a multi-polar world would look like. A multi-polar world looks like 18th and 19th century Europe writ large, with nation states jockeying for power, and war being considered as a logical extension of economic and political policy. It isn't nations coming together and negotiating peacefully at the EU or UN or wherever.
It feels a bit like the U.S. thinks the rest of the world isn't capable of looking after itself.
Arguably because the rest of the world isn't. If you look at the "free world", who actually spends even 1% of their GDP on defense? Heck, half of Germany's air force can't even fly because they've pared their maintenance budgets back too far to buy spare parts for their planes. When France and Italy bombed Libya, they had to rely on the US to provide necessary logistical support, like tankers and reconnaissance, and even the smartbombs themselves. Taiwan explicitly relies on US carriers to guarantee its territorial sovereignty against Chinese aggression. Japan likewise.
A world in which the US is in full retreat is not a more liberal, peaceful world. It's a world in which even more autocratic powers, like China and Russia advance.
EDIT: By the way, I totally agree that the US is overstretched. But unilateral retreat, leaving our allies in the lurch to face hostile powers on their own is not the correct way of addressing that problem.
- LeChuck 10y ago>who actually spends even 1% of their GDP on defense? Here are the numbers. All but five of the countries do. You're point still stands, though. http://www.nato.int/nato_static_fl2014/assets/pdf/pdf_2016_07/20160704_160704-pr2016-116.pdf http://www.nato.int/nato_static_fl2014/assets/pdf/pdf_2016_0...
- pmontra 10y agoIt means they are not your allies anymore. They'll have to make deals with somebody else instead. How could this benefit the USA puzzles me. China was the number one country in the world at the beginning of 1600, per population and economy, as usual. They also had an oceanic fleet travelling to India and possibly to Africa. Then they decided to concentrate on internal matters because they were the only ones important to preserve the government. They even burned the fleet. That move played out very bad for them in a couple of centuries. The world is much faster now. My bet is that turning inwards, if it really happens, will play bad for the USA in two decades or less. They are laughing in Moscow and Beijing now. Any immediate commercial trouble will be repaid with interests by a more prominent international status. Even wars will pay off in the long run, especially if not fought at home. Check WW1 and WW2 for the USA, or any regional conflict after then.