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That's not cause to suspect the analysis. Yes, the sampled population may not be congruent with the nationwide population. There's a reason for that: these are
by wool_gather 10y ago
That's not cause to suspect the analysis. Yes, the sampled population may not be congruent with the nationwide population. There's a reason for that: these are exit polls at the primaries. Only those who showed up to vote in those primaries can be polled.
The article links to its source data: http://www.cbsnews.com/elections/2016/primaries/republican/virginia/exit/ http://www.cbsnews.com/elections/2016/primaries/republican/v...
The VA results there, for example, also show that the majority of respondents for both Republican and Democratic primaries are over the median state (and national) _age_.
- ericd 10y agoRight, that was my point - primary voters are not representative of general election voters, and so conclusions about general election voters should not be drawn from primary voter data.
- wool_gather 10y agoOkay, fair enough, I didn't quite realize that's what you were arguing against. I need to hunt down the demographic info for the general exit polling; this is one of the big questions on my mind.
- ericd 10y agoSorry, I probably wasn't expressing clearly. Yeah, that'd be interesting, haven't seen anything about that yet.
- deleted 10y ago[deleted]