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My understanding is exit polls are actually pretty unreliable; they are conducted primarily to correlate demographic data with the official totals for future ca
by ghostly_s 10y ago
My understanding is exit polls are actually pretty unreliable; they are conducted primarily to correlate demographic data with the official totals for future campaigning purposes, but need to be adjusted based on the actual outcome as the raw data is not representative. Perhaps this particular phenomenon is less present, though?
- jacques_chester 10y agoMy understanding is that they're a better predictor of the final tally than any other poll, because they occur after the vote has been cast.
- WillPostForFood 10y agoThere definitely have been problems with exit poll accuracy. http://www.nytimes.com/2014/11/05/upshot/exit-polls-why-they-so-often-mislead.html http://www.nytimes.com/2014/11/05/upshot/exit-polls-why-they...
- jacques_chester 10y agoI think I see the disconnect. I'm Australian, we have compulsory voting. I hadn't connected all the dots on the effects of voluntary voting on exit polls. Only got as far as thinking about the ballot.