4 ms·

FiveThirtyEight and Nate Silver's predictions have been hilariously wrong about Trump in every way possible. Reading this honestly makes me question why I read

• woodchuck64 10y ago
  What reality-based approach to predicting Trump's win would you have used? Note; anecdotes are not a reliable approach.
  • 551199 10y ago
    How about one that isn't used only to influence voters? Read Talebs tweets: https://mishtalk.com/2016/08/07/nassim-telab-blasts-nate-silver-about-election-odds-in-series-of-tweets/ https://mishtalk.com/2016/08/07/nassim-telab-blasts-nate-sil... https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/794608806072352769 https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/794608806072352769
• zzalpha 10y ago
  Well, for me, it was usually because of the high quality commentary, wherein folks had rational discussions about the content of a piece rather than resorting to Reddit-style content-free snark that neither educates nor illuminates. Funny how times change, eh?
  • 551199 10y ago
    All the dissident views about polls being outright wrong were met with disbelief when it was clear to anyone who looked that they were blatantly off. Mainly to create social proof to vote Clinton.