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I don't understand the title of this article; his prediction was even worse (99% Clinton win) than Nate Silver's (60% Clinton win).
by clishem 10y ago
I don't understand the title of this article; his prediction was even worse (99% Clinton win) than Nate Silver's (60% Clinton win).
- nanis 10y agoIt was written the day before the election, because the author liked the fake certainty offered by Wang (who seems to have just discovered correlated errors). Both Wang and the Wired author seem to be unaware of http://psych.colorado.edu/~vanboven/teaching/p7536_heurbias/p7536_readings/kruger_dunning.pdf http://psych.colorado.edu/~vanboven/teaching/p7536_heurbias/...