It's not fair to say, "So and so would have won if not for the electoral college." That's about as fair as saying a different candidate would have definitely w

It's not fair to say, "So and so would have won if not for the electoral college." That's about as fair as saying a different candidate would have definitely won if they got the nomination instead. If the candidates were going for popular vote they would have run a completely different campaign, focusing on population dense states. So it's impossible to say the popular vote would have been the same.